Another crosshairs

November 8, 2012

(This article was first published on A Distant ObserveR, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers)

C. DeSante over at is.R() has PEBOS as well, but turned it into a great explanation of the way predictions like Nate Silver's work.

For a while the 538 team had PEBOS as well: "The FiveThirtyEight team is still recuperating, but the election provided a fresh supply of data points that we’ll be connecting in the coming days."

This inspired me to add some predictions of the popular vote to my crosshairs plot. The data are from here.

We can see that Nate was closest. Well how does the old song sing?
Pass my window, pass my gate
Pass my window, pass my gate
You can pass my window, can pass my gate
But you'll never pass FiveThirtyEight...
The additional code is simple:

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